Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krasnodar v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Krasnodar
RUS
2-2
HT 0-0
Krasnodar
RUS
Krasnodar 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Actual Match Statistics
FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past Krasnodar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Krasnodar had 60% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 40%, shots finished 23-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krasnodar and 1.33 for FC Akhmat Grozny.
What was the final score of Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
Krasnodar 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Super Cup on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 47%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.