Buchbach 3-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.67/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.05
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.03.2025 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-2 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach got the better of Wacker Burghausen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buchbach as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wacker Burghausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buchbach and 1.33 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?

Buchbach 3-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 45%, draw 24%, Wacker Burghausen 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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