Weiche Flensburg 3-2 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.46
No
30%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
70%
BTTS Yes
64%
+5.2pp
30%
BTTS No
36%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.04/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.39
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.11.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-3 HT 0-2 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
02.12.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
19.10.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.08.2015 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg nicked a narrow win over Hamburg II 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weiche Flensburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.33 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II?

Weiche Flensburg 3-2 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 47%, draw 24%, Hamburg II 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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