Astoria Walldorf 1-3 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.4pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.70/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.43
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-4 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
23.03.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 2-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg saw off Astoria Walldorf 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 2.00 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?

Astoria Walldorf 1-3 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 32%, draw 25%, SGV Freiberg 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
5 Sep 2025
18:30 Nürnberg II vs Vilzing Analysis →
18:45 Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth Analysis →
20:00 Weiche Flensburg vs Hamburg II Analysis →
20:00 Meppen vs Jeddeloh Analysis →
20:00 Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen Analysis →
20:00 Hankofen-Hailing vs Memmingen Analysis →