Nürnberg II 1-3 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.8
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
51%
+11.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.4pp
19%
Away Win
26%
-6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.91/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.84
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
335 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vilzing
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2025 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
23.08.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 4-1 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
22.07.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-5 HT 0-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 8-1 HT 4-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing got the better of Nürnberg II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nürnberg II at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Nürnberg II and 2.50 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Vilzing?

Nürnberg II 1-3 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 63%, draw 19%, Vilzing 19%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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