Chelsea (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Sep 2026

Chelsea (K) WWWWW→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Aston Villa (K) WLLLL→
📅05/09/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2026/2027

Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 13:29
Match Result
HomeVIEW
78%
1.21
Draw
13%
6.28
Away
9%
9.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
2%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Chelsea (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chelsea (K) The Market 83%
Signal
AWAY Aston Villa (K) The Market 10%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.37
Weak Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 78%
43 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.01 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
395 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.03.2026 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 4-3 HT 3-3 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
14.09.2025 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
02.02.2025 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
20.09.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
17.04.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL

Chelsea (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
1 - 1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
3.60 xG 0.58
65% Ball Possession 35%
35 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 0
509 Passes 260
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
58 Box Touches 4
41 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Chelsea (K) and Aston Villa (K) with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Chelsea (K) at 78% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Chelsea (K) had 65% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 35%, shots finished 35-7, expected goals 3.60 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.80 for Aston Villa (K).

Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Result & Final Score

Chelsea (K) 1 - 1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 78%, draw 13%, Aston Villa (K) 9%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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