Chesham United 0-1 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 31%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.62
-34% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
0-1
AWAY Bath City
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City edged past Chesham United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chesham United had 50% of the ball to Bath City's 50%, shots finished 0-1.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Bath City?

Chesham United 0-1 Bath City in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 44%, draw 24%, Bath City 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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