Chester 0-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.78
Over
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.99
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
18%
3.9
6+
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.37/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.00
-27% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-2 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
28.08.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
15.04.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 1-2 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
20.12.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-2 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İNFAT
22.11.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
23.04.2022 Chester Chester 1-0 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
0-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
73% Ball Possession 27%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Farsley AFC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 73% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 27%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chester and 0.83 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Chester vs Farsley AFC?

Chester 0-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chester 53%, draw 26%, Farsley AFC 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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