Chippenham Town 0-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No Pick
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.67
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.29
6+
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.88/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood squeezed past Chippenham Town 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 41% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 59%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Boreham Wood?

Chippenham Town 0-1 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 28%, draw 23%, Boreham Wood 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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