Kings Lynn Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

Kings Lynn Town
2-1 HT 1-1
Darlington 1883
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Kings Lynn Town vs Darlington 1883 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.29
2-3
36%
1.79
4-5
24%
5.35
6+
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kings Lynn Town v Darlington 1883 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.08/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Kings Lynn Town vs Darlington 1883 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
14.10.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 1-2 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
22.04.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 0-2 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
22.10.2022 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
31.08.2019 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON

Kings Lynn Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town edged past Darlington 1883 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kings Lynn Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 46% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 54%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 0.60 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Darlington 1883?

Kings Lynn Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 40%, draw 30%, Darlington 1883 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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