Marine 1-0 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-100% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 3-2 HT 3-1 Marine Marine İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Marine Marine 3-2 HT 2-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-1 HT 1-1 Marine Marine İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Marine Marine 1-1 HT 1-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough FAK
13.09.2022 Marine Marine 0-1 HT 0-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
1-0
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marine vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine edged past Radcliffe Borough 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Marine made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Marine had 52% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Marine and 1.60 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Marine vs Radcliffe Borough?

Marine 1-0 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marine 37%, draw 26%, Radcliffe Borough 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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