Needham Market 3-0 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.67
-62% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
3-0
AWAY South Shields
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market cruised past South Shields 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was South Shields at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Needham Market had 58% of the ball to South Shields's 42%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs South Shields?

Needham Market 3-0 South Shields in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 31%, draw 27%, South Shields 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (South Shields), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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