Scunthorpe United 2-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.23
Over
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.48
2-3
40%
1.9
4-5
21%
2.91
6+
11%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.48 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Scunthorpe United win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-18.9pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.80/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.54
-9% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
2-2
AWAY Oxford City
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United and Oxford City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Scunthorpe United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 55% of the ball to Oxford City's 45%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Oxford City?

Scunthorpe United 2-2 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 55%, draw 23%, Oxford City 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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