Spennymoor Town 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.74
Over
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No Pick
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.87
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.06
6+
9%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.47/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.93
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
03.09.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 4-1 HT 2-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
15.03.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
30.10.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 4-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
18.01.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
28.09.2019 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and Kidderminster Harriers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 54% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 46%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spennymoor Town and 2.00 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Spennymoor Town 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 41%, draw 26%, Kidderminster Harriers 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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