Exeter City vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Cambridge United
İN1
2-1
HT 0-1
Exeter City
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Exeter City
FAK
1-4
HT 0-2
Exeter City
İN2
Exeter City 1-0 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City edged past Cambridge United 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Exeter City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Exeter City had 56% of the ball to Cambridge United's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Exeter City and 1.17 for Cambridge United.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Cambridge United?
Exeter City 1-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Cambridge United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 49%, draw 27%, Cambridge United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.