Wycombe Wanderers vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wycombe Wanderers v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Wycombe Wanderers vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Wycombe Wanderers
İN2
4-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Wycombe Wanderers
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Wycombe Wanderers
İN2
Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Wycombe Wanderers edged past Crawley Town 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 44% of the ball to Crawley Town's 56%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wycombe Wanderers's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 0.83 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Crawley Town?
Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 48%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.