Ourense CF 2-2 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.48
Over
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.14
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
15%
5.93
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.55/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.17
+38% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF and Unionistas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Unionistas?

Ourense CF 2-2 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 34%, draw 31%, Unionistas 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Unionistas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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