Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 2-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-3
HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
4-2
HT 2-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin edged past Borussia Dortmund 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 33% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 67%, shots finished 14-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Berlin and 2.50 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 31%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.