Bochum 1-3 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

Bochum
1-3 HT 0-2
Wolfsburg
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bochum vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.15
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
15%
6.6
X/2
15%
5.11
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.97
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.68/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.24
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.3 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bochum vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
275 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.12.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-1 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
22.04.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-5 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
29.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
09.01.2022 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
14.08.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1

Bochum 1-3 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-3
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.75 xG 2.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
310 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg beat Bochum 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wolfsburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bochum had 58% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 42%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.75 to 2.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Wolfsburg?

Bochum 1-3 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bochum 34%, draw 28%, Wolfsburg 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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