FC Giessen 1-2 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.62/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.84
+10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Giessen
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
27.11.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 1-1 HT 0-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
06.03.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 3-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
14.10.2020 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 FC Giessen FC Giessen 0-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Giessen vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf squeezed past FC Giessen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Giessen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Giessen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for FC Giessen and 0.40 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of FC Giessen vs Astoria Walldorf?

FC Giessen 1-2 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Giessen vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Giessen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Giessen 42%, draw 25%, Astoria Walldorf 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Giessen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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