Hessen Kassel 0-1 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.21/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.09
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 3-1 HT 2-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
18.12.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt nicked a narrow win over Hessen Kassel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day FSV Frankfurt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Frankfurt led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.50 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs FSV Frankfurt?

Hessen Kassel 0-1 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 40%, draw 23%, FSV Frankfurt 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hessen Kassel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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