Askollen 0-4 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.59
Over Pick
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.25
No
43%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1
16%
14.3
2-3
42%
3.04
4-5
29%
2.3
6+
13%
2.64
Value flag · 2-3 at 3.04 — our 42% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-9.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
76%
-19.2pp
43%
BTTS No
24%
+19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Askollen EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 66%
+75% / +75% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.32
+27% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
226 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Askollen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baerum
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Baerum Baerum 5-3 HT 4-2 Askollen Askollen NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Askollen
0-4
AWAY Baerum
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Askollen vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum cruised past Askollen 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Askollen had 50% of the ball to Baerum's 50%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Askollen vs Baerum?

Askollen 0-4 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Askollen vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Askollen 29%, draw 20%, Baerum 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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