Lorenskog 3-3 Skjetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lorenskog win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Skjetten EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.85
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorenskog
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Skjetten
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
04.05.2024 Skjetten Skjetten 1-3 HT 1-0 Lorenskog Lorenskog NOR4
16.10.2022 Lorenskog Lorenskog 5-1 HT 1-1 Skjetten Skjetten NOR4
18.06.2022 Skjetten Skjetten 0-1 HT 0-0 Lorenskog Lorenskog NOR4
POST-MATCH Lorenskog vs Skjetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog and Skjetten couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lorenskog at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lorenskog had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lorenskog and 0.67 for Skjetten.

What was the final score of Lorenskog vs Skjetten?

Lorenskog 3-3 Skjetten in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorenskog vs Skjetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lorenskog 56%, draw 29%, Skjetten 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lorenskog) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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