Inter Turku 0-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.98
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
10%
5.18
X/2
10%
6.98
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
4.76
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.05/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.94
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.5 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 434
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
05.04.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
21.09.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
01.09.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
30.03.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
0-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.95 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 8
411 Passes 381
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio swept aside Inter Turku 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 51% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.95 to 2.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Inter Turku 0-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 48%, draw 23%, KuPS Kuopio 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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