Ehime FC 1-3 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.78/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.82
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
213 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 25.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
202 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
31.08.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 2-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
08.06.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
28.11.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
30.05.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.11.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
1-3
AWAY Mito HollyHock
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
338 Passes 425
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock beat Ehime FC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mito HollyHock as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 46% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 54%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ehime FC and 2.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock?

Ehime FC 1-3 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 21%, draw 25%, Mito HollyHock 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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