SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.13
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
10.08.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
12.05.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 2-1 HT 2-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
18.02.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk HAZ
16.07.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.11.2022 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
3-1
AWAY Shinnik
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk saw off Shinnik 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SKA Khabarovsk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 32% of the ball to Shinnik's 68%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 0.50 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik?

SKA Khabarovsk 3-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 50%, draw 26%, Shinnik 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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