IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.86
Over
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
-25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.0 Crosses 22.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.55 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-4 HT 2-2 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.02.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.09.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
24.05.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
24.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
29.07.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.87 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
231 Passes 292
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 47% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 53%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.87 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 2.00 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 48%, draw 23%, Spartak Subotica 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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