IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IMT Novi Beograd v Spartak Subotica — Team-Based Signals
IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
2-1
HT 1-1
IMT Novi Beograd
SIRP
IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Spartak Subotica — Actual Match Statistics
IMT Novi Beograd squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 47% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 53%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.87 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 2.00 for Spartak Subotica.
What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?
IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?
Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 48%, draw 23%, Spartak Subotica 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.