Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napredak Krusevac v Kızılyıldız — Team-Based Signals
Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kızılyıldız
SIRP
4-0
HT 3-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
Napredak Krusevac 0-3 Kızılyıldız — Actual Match Statistics
Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over Napredak Krusevac 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 29% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 71%, shots finished 3-29, expected goals 0.40 to 2.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 3.17 for Kızılyıldız.
What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?
Napredak Krusevac 0-3 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Kızılyıldız?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 11%, draw 13%, Kızılyıldız 75%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.