Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangkok United v Nakhon Ratchasima — Team-Based Signals
Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-0
Bangkok United
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
2-2
HT 2-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
0-2
HT 0-1
Bangkok United
TAY
Bangkok United 3-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Actual Match Statistics
Bangkok United beat Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bangkok United had 74% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 26%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.18 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bangkok United and 0.67 for Nakhon Ratchasima.
What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Bangkok United 3-1 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 70%, draw 18%, Nakhon Ratchasima 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.