Prachuap 1-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.97
Over 2.5
37%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
47%
+15.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
53%
-15.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.08
+59% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.6 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
267 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 0-2 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
09.11.2024 Prachuap Prachuap 3-2 HT 0-2 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.12.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 2-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAYFK
11.11.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-5 HT 1-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
19.03.2022 Prachuap Prachuap 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
07.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
1-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.39 xG 0.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
258 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prachuap squeezed past Ratchaburi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Prachuap found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Prachuap had 44% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 56%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Prachuap's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Prachuap and 2.17 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Ratchaburi?

Prachuap 1-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 36%, draw 28%, Ratchaburi 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Prachuap) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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