LDU Quito 4-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+2.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.79/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.1 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Orense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.77 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
02.03.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
4-0
AWAY Orense
2.64 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
386 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito ran out comfortable winners over Orense 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, LDU Quito had 57% of the ball to Orense's 43%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.64 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Orense.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Orense?

LDU Quito 4-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 66%, draw 20%, Orense 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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