Achuapa 0-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.39/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.22
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
26.01.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.10.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
14.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
0-1
AWAY Malacateco
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco edged past Achuapa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 51% of the ball to Malacateco's 49%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Achuapa 0-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 48%, draw 30%, Malacateco 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Achuapa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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