Lion City Sailors FC 5-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lion City Sailors FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Thai Port FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Lion City Sailors FC Lion City Sailors FC AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lion City Sailors FC
5-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
2.09 xG 0.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
294 Passes 413
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lion City Sailors FC vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lion City Sailors FC ran out comfortable winners over Thai Port FC 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lion City Sailors FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lion City Sailors FC had 42% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 58%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Lion City Sailors FC vs Thai Port FC?

Lion City Sailors FC 5-2 Thai Port FC in the AFCŞL2 on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lion City Sailors FC vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lion City Sailors FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lion City Sailors FC 38%, draw 24%, Thai Port FC 38%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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