Muang Thong United 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
35%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
19%
+15.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
03.10.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 4-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
1-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.34 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
330 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United edged past Jeonbuk Motors 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 43% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 57%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Muang Thong United 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the AFCŞL2 on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 49%, draw 17%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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