Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
4.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
10.95
2-3 Goals
33%
2.65
4-5 Goals
31%
2.27
6+ Goals
12%
3.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.1pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.3pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-22% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eastern
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-3 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4-1
AWAY Eastern
3.41 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
30 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
541 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
47 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima cruised past Eastern 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 68% of the ball to Eastern's 32%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 3.41 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Eastern?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 Eastern in the AFCŞL2 on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%, draw 18%, Eastern 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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