Barrow 1-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
9%
7.18
X/X
13%
4.14
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.71
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.23/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-8% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.7 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
220 Passes 187
60% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.12.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.10.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
05.02.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
26.12.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
24.04.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.24 xG 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barrow had 50% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 50%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.24 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Barrow and 1.33 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Tranmere Rovers?

Barrow 1-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barrow 46%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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