Bradford City 2-4 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Bradford City
2-4 HT 0-1
Crawley Town
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bradford City vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 25% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
23%
3.84
X/2
7%
9.63
X/X
12%
5.34
2/1
10%
22.6
2/2
9%
7.49
2/X
9%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
-25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 65%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
24.2 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bradford City vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Crawley Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 Passes 198
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
07.04.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
29.10.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
29.01.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
25.09.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
13.04.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Bradford City 2-4 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
2-4
AWAY Crawley Town
2.90 xG 2.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
269 Passes 249
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
38 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town saw off Bradford City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bradford City had 52% of the ball to Crawley Town's 48%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.90 to 2.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bradford City.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bradford City and 1.33 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Crawley Town?

Bradford City 2-4 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 53%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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