Mansfield Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Mansfield Town
0-1 HT 0-1
Crewe Alexandra
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mansfield Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 26% vs market 16.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.75
X/1
22%
3.67
X/2
7%
13.65
X/X
11%
6.91
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
7%
10.05
2/X
8%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.86/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.60
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
347 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 66%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.7 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mansfield Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
233 Passes 366
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-2 HT 1-2 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
14.01.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
24.09.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-2 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
14.12.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
08.10.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İNTK
23.03.2019 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2

Mansfield Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.67 xG 1.26
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
498 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
54 Box Touches 19
59 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Mansfield Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 68% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 32%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.26 — on chances, Mansfield Town could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Mansfield Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 54%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mansfield Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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