Saint-Omer 2-3 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
17%
5.15
Away Pick
66%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.19
2-3
38%
1.82
4-5
24%
2.86
6+
16%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.19 — our 22% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dunkerque win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
66%
Away Win
74%
-8.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Omer The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque The Market 79%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.80
+22% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Omer
2-3
AWAY Dunkerque
2.70 xG 1.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
230 Passes 393
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Omer vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Saint-Omer 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Saint-Omer had 41% of the ball to Dunkerque's 59%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.70 to 1.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Saint-Omer.

What was the final score of Saint-Omer vs Dunkerque?

Saint-Omer 2-3 Dunkerque in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Omer vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Saint-Omer 17%, draw 17%, Dunkerque 66%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Over 2.5
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