06/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Besançon FC vs La Chapelle Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
16%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
51%
21%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Besançon FC v La Chapelle — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Besançon FC
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Chapelle
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
346 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Besançon FC vs La Chapelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Besançon FC cruised past La Chapelle 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Besançon FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Besançon FC vs La Chapelle?
Besançon FC 4-0 La Chapelle in the France - National League 3 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Besançon FC vs La Chapelle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Besançon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Besançon FC 51%, draw 21%, La Chapelle 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Besançon FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Besançon FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
6 Jan 2024