06/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Chatellerault vs Poitiers FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
50%
4-5
15%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
25%
30%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chatellerault v Poitiers FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chatellerault
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Poitiers FC
The Market 55%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
276 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
397 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chatellerault vs Poitiers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chatellerault saw off Poitiers FC 3-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Chatellerault found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Chatellerault vs Poitiers FC?
Chatellerault 3-1 Poitiers FC in the France - National League 3 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chatellerault vs Poitiers FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Poitiers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chatellerault 33%, draw 30%, Poitiers FC 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poitiers FC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Poitiers FC)
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
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6 Jan 2024