Métropole Troyenne 2-1 Thaon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Métropole Troyenne The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Thaon The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Métropole Troyenne
2-1
AWAY Thaon
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Métropole Troyenne vs Thaon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Métropole Troyenne squeezed past Thaon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Métropole Troyenne as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Métropole Troyenne had 38% of the ball to Thaon's 62%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Métropole Troyenne vs Thaon?

Métropole Troyenne 2-1 Thaon in the France - National League 3 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Métropole Troyenne vs Thaon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Métropole Troyenne win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Métropole Troyenne 51%, draw 22%, Thaon 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Métropole Troyenne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Métropole Troyenne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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