06/01/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Villers Houlgate CF vs Dives Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
49%
28%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villers Houlgate CF v Dives — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Villers Houlgate CF
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dives
The Market 29%
-70% /
-70%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-38% /
-38%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
-36%
/
-33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+35%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
380 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Villers Houlgate CF vs Dives
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Villers Houlgate CF edged past Dives 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Villers Houlgate CF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Villers Houlgate CF vs Dives?
Villers Houlgate CF 1-0 Dives in the France - National League 3 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villers Houlgate CF vs Dives?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villers Houlgate CF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Villers Houlgate CF 40%, draw 28%, Dives 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villers Houlgate CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Villers Houlgate CF)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
6 Jan 2024