Mali 6-2 Gine Bissau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mali EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 40%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mali vs Gine Bissau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mali ran out comfortable winners over Gine Bissau 6-2. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Mali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mali vs Gine Bissau?

Mali 6-2 Gine Bissau in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mali vs Gine Bissau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gine Bissau win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mali 34%, draw 30%, Gine Bissau 36%. The final score 6-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gine Bissau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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