Union Berlin 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.55
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.65
X/1
20%
3.55
X/2
7%
17.15
X/X
9%
7.86
2/1 EV+
9%
20.7
2/2
11%
12.65
2/X
8%
20.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.19/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-7% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 368
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2022 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
25.09.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL1
07.03.2021 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
07.11.2020 Union Berlin Union Berlin 5-0 HT 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL1
22.02.2019 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
22.09.2018 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
2-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin saw off Arminia Bielefeld 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Berlin had 51% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 49%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Berlin and 0.50 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Union Berlin 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 54%, draw 22%, Arminia Bielefeld 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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