Hibernians FC 4-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
0.71/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.65
-43% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 5-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
19.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
08.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-4 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
25.08.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
28.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
4-1
AWAY Gzira United
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC swept aside Gzira United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Hibernians FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 50% of the ball to Gzira United's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.50 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Hibernians FC 4-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 41%, draw 23%, Gzira United 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernians FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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6 Jan 2026
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