Coventry 4-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 25% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
7%
13.75
X/X
10%
6.76
2/1
9%
20.6
2/2
7%
10.15
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
4.03/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.17
+87% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +77%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
472 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.0 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
346 Passes 268
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry FAK
20.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
26.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.01.2021 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.12.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
27.03.2010 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
4-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry ran out comfortable winners over Sheffield Wednesday 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Coventry had 59% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 41%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 0.67 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Coventry 4-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - FA Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Coventry 57%, draw 24%, Sheffield Wednesday 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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