Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.56
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.29
6+
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
12%
9.2
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
8.02
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna The Market 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.65/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.57
+23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.3 Crosses 28.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Osasuna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.86 xG 0.63
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
470 Passes 183
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
27.10.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
10.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
17.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
02.12.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.07.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-3 Osasuna Osasuna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-0
AWAY Osasuna
1.70 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
319 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad got the better of Osasuna 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 56% of the ball to Osasuna's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.70 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 45%, draw 26%, Osasuna 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSPK More Spain - Copa del Rey
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