Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.86
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.76
X/2
10%
7.59
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
5.94
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.53/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.1 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osasuna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 437
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-3 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.02.2025 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
01.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
04.02.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
13.08.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
06.03.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
1-2
AWAY Osasuna
2.39 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
504 Passes 364
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
34 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna squeezed past Celta Vigo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 57% of the ball to Osasuna's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.39 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celta Vigo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.17 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 45%, draw 24%, Osasuna 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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