Osasuna 2-3 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.38
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2
11%
6.34
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.7
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.20/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.39
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.7 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2025 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
01.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
04.02.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
13.08.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
06.03.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
05.11.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 1-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
2-3
AWAY Celta Vigo
2.31 xG 1.71
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
469 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
43 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo edged past Osasuna 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Celta Vigo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 61% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.31 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Osasuna.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osasuna and 1.17 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?

Osasuna 2-3 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 40%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
26 Oct 2025
16:00 Mallorca vs Levante Analysis →
18:15 Real Madrid vs Barcelona Analysis →
23:00 Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Analysis →